The reality is that under Osborne far more money has been
poured into preventing the cardiac arrest of the economy that results from a
lack of circulating money. This is the money created through quantitative
easing and the difference between it and what was spent by Darling during the
crisis is that the QE money was direct credit creation whereas the money
spent by Darling was generated through the sale of bonds and hence features in
our national debt.
Since 2009 £375
billion has been created directly by the Bank of England and poured into
financial institutions. They have greedily hoovered up this money and paid it
to shareholders as well as improving their balance sheet position. They have
barely loaned any of it to businesses or invested it in the economy, although the government could have used it for such direct investment, as I argued at the time. This explains why
the wealthy and those with interests in finance are flourishing while the rest
of us are suffering austerity. The £80
billion created for Funding for Lending has similarly not resulted in an
increase in debt and has also been kidnapped by the banks rather than being fed
into the real economy.
The Treasury bonds that were bought during the quantitative
easing programme are still sitting inside the Bank of England presumably with a
big label saying 'do not touch'. If they were to be cancelled, which they could
be since they are IOUs issued on our behalf, nearly a third of our national
debt would be wiped out in an instant. What a marvellous way of reducing the
burden of austerity - or not depending on your political objectives.
These are political choices and hence the narrative of
austerity politics that there is no alternative is simply a lie. Darling could
have created money directly to save the banks; Osborne could create money
directly now for investment in a renewable energy transition. Darling's unwillingness
to resort to direct credit creation in the early days is hard to fathom and
perhaps resulted from a failure of understanding. Osborne's refusal now to
engage in any type of monetary policy that would assist the real economy is a
consequence of his desire to use the financial crisis to achieve his long-term
policy goal of destroying the public sector.
Almost without challenge Osborne portrays himself as the
saviour of the economy while Cameron claims deceitfully to have reduced the
debt. The national debt is of course still increasing (see the Spectator graphic) and while the deficit is
slightly decreasing we're way off Osborne's original projections. However, this
is all smoke and mirrors since the Conservatives have no intention and no
desire of reducing the national debt: it's far too useful to them politically.
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I agree with your premise that they no interest in reducing "debt" for political reasons.
ReplyDeleteHave lots of probs though, why reduce the "debt" when it is not debt in any meaningful sense. It is net saving of the non govt sector. Certainly distribution issues with who owns it but that is a different subject.
QE is not printing "money" unless you are using a very narrow definition. It is a swap between different duration gov liabilities as you are not changing the worth of your balance sheet just the type of net financial asset.
Banks get reserves yes but they do not lend reserves (apart from to each other) stuffing them full of reserves does not mean any more lending...the money multiplier is a myth.
i would argue thay QE itself is a placebo mostly and even slightly deflationary through the interest channel.
"Since 2009 £375 billion has been created directly by the Bank of England and poured into financial institutions. They have greedily hoovered up this money and paid it to shareholders as well as improving their balance sheet position. They have barely loaned any of it to businesses or invested it in the economy"
ReplyDeleteI would wager that the lack of investment in the productive economy since this huge ramp in QE is due to the lack of yield in such lending and so there has been nothing left than to ramp up the speculative financial sphere which is positively bubbling. The question needs to be asked why we there are such low returns now in the productive economy and while the debt laden consumer has much to do with this, the real reason lies beyond I feel.
The economic system itself is having to divert increasing levels of surplus capacity to the core drivers of the growth engine, namely energy production, especially oil. The amount of capital required to get the returns needed have naturally continued to increase given the limited nature of such resources. However, our more socially minded political policymakers do not, in the main, see things this way and lambast the bankers for hoarding this QE money. All we need to do is force more lending to SMEs and we will get things back on track they say. However, while some businesses may be saved and others even grow somewhat if we made such a move, it can only be short term. This is thinking within the growth paradigm and it affects all sides of the political spectrum.