I am
reading Georgescu-Roegen 's mighty work and not at the first time of trying. It
is a huge, dense and rich tome, rich in the manner of chocolate mousse but
similarly hard to take in large quantities. But this is August and the month
when even the over-worked drones of the modern academy can find some time for
reading and so I am treating myself to a surfeit of chocolate mousse and will
be sharing some select spoonfuls via this blog.
For those
who do not know this book or its author it is worth beginning by saying that Georgescu-Roegen (henceforth GR) was born in Constanta
on the Black Sea coast of Romania in 1906. He studied first mathematics and
then statistics and economics, on a scholarship to Paris and in London with
Karl Pearson. After communism came to Romania he went to the US where he taught
economics at Vanderbilt University from 1950 to 1976. We probably know about GR
because of the work of his student Herman Daly, who began with a fairly
conventional career but seems to have been so influenced by the thought of his
heretic teacher that he started taking the biophysical limits seriously and
developed, with others, the school of Ecological Economics that is now one of
the major critical approaches to the neoclassical hegemony.
I was
drawn to the book because, unlike so many economist who began as
mathematicians, GR did not remain in the abstract world of numbers and figures,
trying to make the systems of life fit into the place statistics had designed
for it. Rather his objective was to address the relationship between the
biological world and the theorising of economists directly and honestly. Since
this task lies at the heart of the interest of a green economist a careful
reading of the book is inevitable. However, to challenge the discipline he was
so much a part of GR needed to conduct a deep and systematic analysis of how
economics worked in the middle of the last century, and it is the outcome of
this that the The Entropy Law and the
Economic Process presents.
GR begins
with a survey of the philosophy of science, as a background to discussing
whether economics can ever be a science. Here he draws in many of the
philosophical greats, reminding us, for example that it was Kant's view
(explained in his wonderfully titled Prolegomena
to Any Future Metaphysics that will be Able to Present itself as a Science)
that, rather than observing the world and then theorising from our findings, we
create our theories and then force our observations to fit them: 'the
understanding does not draw its laws (a priori) from nature, but prescribes
them to nature' (p. 35).
GR's
target, of course, is the early theorists of economics, who sought to transform
economics into 'a physico-mathematical science', for example Leon Walras who,
when faced with the impossibility of extending the concept of 'utility' this far
apparently exclaimed 'Eh bien! This difficulty is not insurmountable. Let us
suppose that this measure exists, and we shall be able to give an exact and
mathematical account' of the influence of utility on prices and on other
economic variables (p. 40). Perhaps it was Walras who was the original
inspiration for the joke that asks how many economists it takes to change a
light-bulb. The answer is none at all, because they assume that the light-bulb
has already been changed.
Jevons
was similarly optimistic about the potential of the new sciences and the load-bearing
capacity of its concepts. Having declared his intention to rebuild economics as
'the mechanics of utility and self-interest' he waved his hand optimistically
at the large quantity of data in account-books and the like as an indication of
the nature of economics as a quantitative study, but 'failed to go on to
explain how ordinary statistical data could be substituted for the variables of
his mechanical equations' (p. 40) GR likens this to 'planning a fish hatchery
in a moist flower bed'.
His
conclusion on the work of these pioneers of the economic science is damning,
his target its misplaced enthusiasm for mechanistic epistemology and for using
logic in an inappropriate context: 'For I believe that what social sciences,
nay, all sciences need is not so much a new Galileo or a new Newton as a new
Aristotle who would prescribe new rules for handling those notions that Logic
cannot deal with'.
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Surely any hypothesis that is capable of disproof can be tested by the scientific method. Now if economics is more akin to metaphysics it falls outside the field of science. So I guess it all depends on what a particular economist is asserting.
ReplyDeleteI'd be quite interested in knowing whether any economists think that recent (late 20th century) advances in chaos theory and complex systems applies to their field.
Finally - It was nice to hear you in St Austell yesterday.